Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
70 Louisiana 0.0%   25 - 6 16 - 2 25 - 6 16 - 2 +7.8      +3.9 70 +3.9 70 73.5 67 +7.8 69 +9.9 1
111 Georgia St. 100.0%   15   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +4.3      +2.1 111 +2.1 111 66.4 242 +3.0 123 +1.9 2
125 Texas Arlington 0.0%   20 - 13 10 - 8 20 - 13 10 - 8 +2.4      +1.2 125 +1.2 125 79.0 16 +2.3 133 +0.1 4
152 Georgia Southern 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 7 19 - 12 11 - 7 +0.9      +0.5 152 +0.5 152 70.4 144 +1.6 143 +0.9 3
174 Troy 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 9 14 - 17 9 - 9 -0.5      -0.3 174 -0.3 174 69.4 170 -2.1 199 -1.0 5
210 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 10 11 - 18 8 - 10 -2.9      -1.5 210 -1.5 210 68.3 197 -4.2 235 -3.6 10
213 Appalachian St. 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 9 13 - 18 9 - 9 -3.0      -1.5 213 -1.5 213 73.0 76 -3.6 222 -2.2 7
217 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   13 - 15 9 - 9 13 - 15 9 - 9 -3.2      -1.6 217 -1.6 217 64.4 297 -2.9 210 -1.7 6
228 Texas St. 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 11 13 - 18 7 - 11 -3.9      -1.9 228 -1.9 228 59.7 345 -3.9 228 -3.4 8
230 South Alabama 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 11 12 - 18 7 - 11 -4.0      -2.0 230 -2.0 230 73.4 70 -4.6 242 -3.5 9
280 Arkansas St. 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 12 9 - 21 6 - 12 -7.0      -3.5 280 -3.5 280 72.1 97 -7.0 277 -5.2 11
293 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   6 - 24 4 - 14 6 - 24 4 - 14 -7.8      -3.9 293 -3.9 293 63.2 320 -9.6 306 -8.5 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Louisiana 1.0 100.0
Georgia St. 2.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 4.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 3.0 100.0
Troy 5.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 8.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 5.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 5.0 100.0
Texas St. 9.0 100.0
South Alabama 9.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 11.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Louisiana 16 - 2 100.0
Georgia St. 12 - 6 100.0
Texas Arlington 10 - 8 100.0
Georgia Southern 11 - 7 100.0
Troy 9 - 9 100.0
Coastal Carolina 8 - 10 100.0
Appalachian St. 9 - 9 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 9 - 9 100.0
Texas St. 7 - 11 100.0
South Alabama 7 - 11 100.0
Arkansas St. 6 - 12 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Louisiana 100.0% 100.0
Georgia St.
Texas Arlington
Georgia Southern
Troy
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian St.
Louisiana Monroe
Texas St.
South Alabama
Arkansas St.
Arkansas Little Rock


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.5 21.2 64.8 13.5
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 100.0% 0.2% 100.0% 9.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.1% 0.1 90.9 9.1
Sweet Sixteen 1.9% 0.0 98.2 1.9
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0